Long AUD/USD. Short GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY. Strongest JPY, weakest GBP: short GBP/JPY.
Squares are the four checks in order narrative, catalyst, structure, rates: filled is aligned, crossed is against, empty is neutral; the ringed square is the dominant driver. Tier needs all four aligned and no major conflict to reach High.
Nothing has reached its horizon yet. The first direction reads score on Wed 9 Sept.
Hit rates appear once the first reads reach their horizon.
Reads are scored on direction at the horizon; trades on target, stop or expiry; the cross call at fixed holds and until Nahan changed it.
| Strategy | Scored | Hit rate | Right / wrong | Net pips | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-tier trades | 0 | — | — | — | |
| High reads | 0 | — | — | — | |
| Medium reads | 0 | — | — | — | 12 pending, next Wed 9 Sept |
| Low reads | 0 | — | — | — | |
| Strongest vs weakest cross call, 1 priced | |||||
| Held 1 day | 0 | pending | |||
| Held 3 days | 0 | pending | |||
| Held 5 days | 0 | pending | |||
| Held until the call changed | 0 | pending | |||
| Pair | Regime | Dominant driver | Held |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | Range regime, rate-differential stalemate | Fed vs ECB policy-rate stalemate, with the ECB now hiking into an inflation overshoot | since Sat 5 Sept |
| GBP/USD | Rate-differential regime with an energy cost overlay | US front-end repricing versus a stalled BoE | since Sat 5 Sept |
| USD/JPY | BoJ normalisation and short-squeeze regime | Rising Japanese short rates against an extreme spec short in yen | since Sat 5 Sept |
| AUD/USD | Commodity terms-of-trade and carry regime | RBA hike repricing and the widening carry versus a static Fed | since Sat 5 Sept |
| USD/CHF | Range regime anchored by SNB negative rates | Deeply negative Swiss rates against a repricing US front end | since Sat 5 Sept |
| USD/CAD | Oil terms-of-trade regime | Crude terms-of-trade shock supporting CAD against a trade-war drag | since Sat 5 Sept |
No high-tier call yet. One is booked only when all four checks align without a major conflict.
| Date | Ranking | Call | Priced | 1d | 3d | 5d | Until changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | JPY vs GBP | Short GBP/JPY | 209.043 | pending | pending | pending | pending |
| 2026-09-06 | JPY vs GBP | Short GBP/JPY | not priced | pending | pending | pending | pending |
| 2026-09-05 | JPY vs GBP | Short GBP/JPY | not priced | pending | pending | pending | pending |
| Date | Pair | Side | Tier | Horizon | Reference | Result | Pips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | AUD/USD | Long | Medium | 4d | 0.72213 | due Fri 11 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-07 | GBP/USD | Short | Medium | 5d | 1.35408 | due Sat 12 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-07 | USD/CAD | Short | Medium | 5d | 1.38120 | due Sat 12 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-07 | USD/JPY | Short | Medium | 4d | 154.401 | due Fri 11 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-06 | AUD/USD | Long | Medium | 4d | 0.72051 | due Thu 10 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-06 | GBP/USD | Short | Medium | 5d | 1.35170 | due Fri 11 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-06 | USD/CAD | Short | Medium | 5d | 1.38370 | due Fri 11 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-06 | USD/JPY | Short | Medium | 4d | 156.221 | due Thu 10 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-05 | AUD/USD | Long | Medium | 4d | 0.72051 | due Wed 9 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-05 | GBP/USD | Short | Medium | 4d | 1.35170 | due Wed 9 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-05 | USD/CAD | Short | Medium | 5d | 1.38370 | due Thu 10 Sept | pending |
| 2026-09-05 | USD/JPY | Short | Medium | 4d | 156.221 | due Wed 9 Sept | pending |
| Date | Started | Output tokens | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 2026-09-07 15:53 | 26,965 | $0.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | 2026-09-07 15:34 | 27,218 | $0.88 |
| 2026-09-06 | 2026-09-06 11:14 | 27,587 | $0.82 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-05 18:20 | 15,446 | $0.55 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-05 18:10 | 13,770 | $0.50 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-05 16:29 | 15,250 | $0.53 |